Bill Snyder has done more with less than almost any other coach in the country during his 27 years as coach of Kansas State. But statistics show that Snyder overachieves more than any FBS coach.
SB Nation’s Bill Connelly used postgame win expectancy to examine every single coach in the FBS on Wednesday. The stat is meant to show how often a team is expected to win a game based on success rates, turnovers, big plays and other in-game stats — and Connelly found that Snyder’s Wildcats have outperformed their win expectancies more than any other FBS team.
During Snyder’s second stint as Kansas State coach, which has now spanned 10 seasons, his teams have overachieved by 1.12 wins on average, the most in the country. Snyder is neck and neck with Navy coach Ken Niumatalolo, who comes in at 1.10 wins over average.
Texas coach Tom Herman was not far behind at 0.98, but that comes with a much smaller sample size and includes his two seasons as Houston’s coach.
Snyder moved in front of Niumatalolo with a typical wizardly performance in 2017. Postgame win expectancy only projected Kansas State to win 6.1 games last season, but Kansas State won eight games and finished the season fifth in the Big 12.
Led by quarterbacks Alex Delton and Skylar Thompson, Kansas State could once again be a dangerous team to handle in the Big 12 this season. And no matter what, Snyder will have the Wildcats ready to shatter expectations.