Drafting quarterbacks is not an exact science, which makes the 2018 NFL Draft all the more difficult.
Oklahoma quarterback Baker Mayfield is one of several prospects vying to be the next face of a franchise. But it’s unlikely the surplus of quarterbacks expected to be taken in the first round this year will all be as great as they appear now.
The likes of Vince Young, Josh Freeman, Sam Bradford, Blaine Gabbert, Robert Griffin III and Brandon Weeden were great coming out of college. But they never materialized into elite NFL quarterbacks.
Rivals.com recruiting director Mike Farrell predicts a few first-round busts will come out of the 2018 NFL Draft class, but Mayfield is not one of them.
So when we are staring at a draft that could have as many quarterbacks taken as the great NFL Draft of 1983 when Hall of Famers John Elway, Jim Kelly and Dan Marino were drafted, we have to realize at it’s likely three of the five and maybe four will end up being disappointments unless we are looking at a historic quarterback draft.
So who will stink and who will be great? Your guess is as good as mine but I’m going to say Mayfield and [Josh] Rosen will be the good ones while [Sam] Darnold, [Josh] Allen and [Lamar] Jackson will end up on this list above.
It’s unclear where Mayfield will land, but he’s expected to be a top-10 pick. USC’s Darnold and UCLA’s Rosen will likely be taken within the first three picks barring Mayfield’s stock shooting up within the next few weeks.
A league of his own
Mayfield was the 2017 Heisman Trophy winner and led Oklahoma to two College Football Playoff appearances during his career.
While college success doesn’t always translate to the NFL, Mayfield’s proven to be a winner at every level he’s played in so far. And his accolades are matched by few entering this year’s draft.
The 2018 NFL Draft begins Thursday, April 26, with the first round concluding by the end of the night. Rounds 2 and 3 will begin Friday, April 27, and Rounds 4-7 will begin Saturday, April 28.