TCU football enters 2018 with high hopes it can reload for another trip to the Big 12 Championship Game.
Texas might get in the way of the Horned Frogs’ title campaign, however, according to SB Nation’s Bill Connelly.
From SB Nation:
“Going strictly on S&P+, though, TCU’s going to have as good a chance as anyone of getting to the title game. And the schedule is as favorable as you can get — the Frogs get five home games to only four road games, two of which are at KU and Baylor. They are projected favorites in seven of nine league games and are the tiniest of projected underdogs (0.7 points) at Texas. (Here’s where TCU fans point out that the Frogs have pummeled the Horns for four straight years.)
“If Robinson is ready, TCU will be, too. And that could make Ohio State’s week three Metroplex visit awfully interesting.”
Yes, TCU has four wins against Texas by an average margin of 30 points. And the Horned Frogs have won three consecutive games at Royal Memorial Stadium.
TCU has a 48-percent win probability against Texas, however, and is projected to lose a close game.
Now, a Longhorns win against the Horned Frogs would be huge for Texas coach Tom Herman. The Longhorns didn’t look amazing in 2017, but Herman seems to have a better hold on things than Charlie Strong did.
Beating TCU will still be a tall order for the struggling program because, while the Horned Frogs’ 2018 outlook is somewhat tough to gauge it isn’t bleak.
The biggest tests for the Horned Frogs will be against Ohio State, Oklahoma and, likely, Texas if the Longhorns take a step in the right direction.
Early wins against Ohio State and Texas could set up TCU for a strong 2018 run, but finding younger players to fill in key holes is the first step for coach Gary Patterson.
Visit SBNation.com for Connelly’s full 2018 season preview of the Horned Frogs. It’s as in-depth of an examination as you’ll find on the upcoming college football season.